Two of the most well-known basketball leagues in the world are the NBA and the Euroleague, and both have seen substantial improvements in terms of efficiency. Regardless of whether you are an experienced basketball bettor or a novice to the world of Euroleague and NBA odds, understanding these tendencies can offer helpful insights to help enhance betting methods and optimize winnings.

Interpreting Odds

There’s a variety of betting options available on the NBA odds page on online sportsbook, Bodog. Let’s consider the Atlanta Hawks vs. Miami Heat matchup as an example, where the spread is +5/-5 and the win odds are +180/-220. You must first comprehend the concept of the point spread in order to appreciate odds. In this example, given that the Hawks are starting with a 5-point edge and the Heat are starting with a 5-point deficit, the point spread in this matchup is +5/-5. The Hawks must either win the game outright or suffer a loss of no more than 5 points in order to cover the spread and pay off the wager. For your gamble on the Heat to win and cover the spread, they must do so by a margin of at least 6 points.

Understanding odds enables you to make wise choices and increase your winnings. In the Atlanta Hawks vs. Miami Heat matchup, for instance, the Hawks are the underdogs and could net you $180 on a $100 wager, while the Heat are the favorites and could win you $220 on a $100 bet.

But winning bets involve more than just playing the odds. Your chances of winning can be further increased by being aware of professional basketball’s efficiency trends. We’ll look at some of the most significant efficiency trends in the NBA and Euroleague in the section that follows. Insights into the advantages and disadvantages of various teams can be gained by keeping an eye on these trends, which will enable you to place bets with greater knowledge.

Efficiency in Professional Basketball

In basketball, efficiency metrics gauge a team’s or a player’s capacity to score goals with the fewest possible possessions or shots. The NBA and Euroleague both use an efficiency metric that evaluates a player’s total impact on the game while also taking turnovers and field goal attempts into account. Considerable emphasis is placed on metrics including scoring, rebounding, assists, steals, and blocks.

Efficiency, often referred to as the Performance Index Rating (PIR), is calculated as follows:

PIR = (Points + Rebounds + Assists + Steals + Blocks + Fouls Drawn) – (Missed Field Goals + Missed Free Throws + Turnovers + Shots Rejected + Fouls Committed

The methods utilized by the two leagues to gauge effectiveness, however, are relatively different. Whereas the NBA effectiveness formula is decided per game, the Euroleague effectiveness formula is decided per minute. This is because NBA games are longer, with four 12-minute quarters, whereas Euroleague games only option four 10-minute quarters.

Additionally, the Euroleague weights each contributing statistic equally, while the NBA uses different weightings for each statistic. For example, in the NBA, points are weighted more heavily than rebounds or assists in the efficiency calculation. Nevertheless, efficiency is a useful tool for comparing players and teams across different leagues.

Efficiency analysis is becoming increasingly common as teams place a greater emphasis on scoring effectively to win games. As teams now place a greater emphasis on scoring effectively to win games, efficiency analysis is becoming more common. The increase in attempted three-point shots across both conferences is a key factor driving this trend. In five years, the Euroleague saw an increase in three-point attempts per game, from 18.8 to 23.6, while in the NBA the same stat rose from 27.0 to 34.7.

The growing significance of ball and player movement is another factor influencing the use of efficiency statistics in both leagues. Multiple players moving around the court while passing the ball in offensive sets make it more difficult for defenses to hold their positions. As a result, offensive performances have improved, and game scores have increased.

How Efficiency Affects Basketball Betting

Efficiency can influence basketball betting in a variety of ways. Teams that are more efficient on offense tend to cover the point spread better in the Euroleague, often by a larger margin. Point spread betting is a popular market, and efficient teams, such as FC Barcelona, are often the favorites.

In the NBA, on the other hand, bookmakers favor highly efficient teams in moneyline betting markets. For example, even against strong opponents, the Utah Jazz, one of the most efficient teams in the 2020-21 season, were frequently favored in moneyline betting markets.

Efficiency also plays a vital role in determining the total number of points scored in a game. Because bookmakers anticipate high-efficiency teams to score more points, NBA games involving those teams typically have higher totals. For instance, during the 2020–21 season, games involving the Brooklyn Nets had high totals due to their high offensive effectiveness.

In-play betting is growing more popular in both the Euroleague and the NBA, and efficiency has a direct impact on in-play betting trends. For example, if a highly efficient team begins a game slowly and falls behind early, gamblers may be more willing to place betting on them in in-play markets, anticipating a comeback and improved efficiency.

Other Variables to Betting Success

Aside from the significance of studying a number of different statistical variables besides efficiency, factors like home court advantage, schedule, and injuries all have an effect on betting trends as well. For instance, smaller venues foster an atmosphere that is more intense and intimidating for rival teams, which frequently results in home teams in the Euroleague having a greater advantage than in the NBA. Conversely, the NBA features much larger arenas, which can make it more challenging for home teams to gain a sizable advantage.

Gamblers need to do their homework and take these things into account in order to place wise bets. If a team played on the road against a team with a sizable home court advantage, for instance, its efficiency advantage might be offset by the support of the home crowd. A team’s chances to win can therefore be better understood by taking into account other influential factors in addition to the insights provided by efficiency ratings.

The More You Know

Efficiency has emerged as a key component in basketball, inspiring new trends and approaches in studying both the NBA and the Euroleague. Understanding these trends can help gamblers make better betting decisions and increase their win rate. The number of variables that bettors should take into account when placing wagers, including injuries, matchups, and home-court advantage, often outweigh the importance of efficiency when predicting outcomes.

A team’s chances can be more fully understood by looking at many factors and considering efficiency statistics. In order to make educated selections and improve their chances of winning, bettors must keep up with these trends and components as the world of basketball develops.

The post Betting Trends: Efficiency in the Euroleague and the NBA appeared first on Eurohoops.

Start early

One of the better ways to gain an advantage is to get your bets in early. Depending on where you are, that can mean 8-9AM or earlier. With information being shared as quickly as it is these days, the window for taking advantage of breaking information closes rapidly.

A great tip to use is betting early because you can get ahead of things like injury news and inefficiencies in the lines. Bookmakers get more and more information the closer to tip-off things get. Betting early means being able to capitalize on potential mistakes or a lack of news prior to correction. It isn’t necessarily something that will happen daily, but it can lead to several potential advantages.

Follow player trends

Whether you plan to bet on teams or player props, following trends is crucial. You usually want to stick with the teams and players who have been hot over the short term. Sure, the trend could end at any time, but wouldn’t you rather tail a guy who has been on fire versus someone who has been cold as ice?

For instance, check out a player like Nikola Jokic. Find the lines that seem most enticing – rebounds, points, assists, or some combination of them – and check out his stat lines over the last five or ten games. If you notice a trend of him going above those totals better than 50% of the time, it is worth riding the wave. Teams and players get hot all the time in the NBA, but it can be a crucial factor to finding a winner along the way.

Watch the schedule for mismatches

Though it takes a little more than a basic knowledge of the league, there are mismatches to be had within the schedule. The bookmaker recognizes these, too, and adjusts the book so that the winnings aren’t damaging.

Still, you can find advantages in the schedule. Perhaps Jokic does well against divisional opponents at home. If you notice that his team is in that scenario, it can provide an obvious betting scenario. Or perhaps you notice that the Bulls cover 70% of the time against road underdogs. Watch the schedule, look for the mismatches, and capitalize on them.

Possessions are a key stat

It can be all too easy to focus on stats like average points per game. But perhaps the more telling stat is possessions per game. Simply put the more a team has control of the ball, the more opportunities that they will have to score.

Teams who have fewer possessions will not only be a less likely candidate to cover but will challenge the under as well. Teams who possess the ball at a higher level tend to have a higher production output. For instance, in 2021-22, four of the top five in possession metrics wound up being money-makers on the bet slip.

Possessions are perhaps the best metric you can find to consistently predicting something like overs. Depending on the matchup, it may be a good tool to use to predict the spread as well.

The post NBA Betting Strategies to Take Advantage of appeared first on Eurohoops.

After testing them for three seasons in the Greek version, Eurohoops added its betting board and live bets via Telegram for the international audience last season.

What’s a betting board? It’s practically the season stats of the bets that Eurohoops is proposing. You will see the date of each game, the result, the odds and also the “units”. The unit is the theoretical value of each bet and can be considered a division of the initial amount that a player is willing to spend throughout the season in betting.

A “max bet” on our board is 100 units and 10 “max bets” should be considered the total amount that a player is willing to spend. For example, if a player is willing to spend 1000 euros per season, then one unit equals one euro. If a player wants to spend 500 euros in total, then a unit is half a euro, etc.

In general, most bets will be about 5, 10, 15, and 20 units. We strongly advise each player to decide on the total amount he wants to spend on betting before the start of each season. It’s the safest way not to overspend and lose money which is really needed for other, much more important, life needs.

Telegram

Via Telegram, we have the ability to directly inform about picks. It will be used not only for a new bet but first and foremost for live bets, which must be communicated fast. Live betting is offered from most companies when there’s a break in the game and the odds can change in a split second. So live betting tips will be available only on a time out, at half time and also at the end of a quarter.

The board

On some occasions, a pick that is analyzed in a betting column will not be added on the board. That will happen when a proposed pick has a small betting value. For example in the game between Real Madrid and Fenerbahce, a home win pays 1.35 and a road win 3.30. Of course, a possible Fenerbahce win is a much more interesting option, but that doesn’t mean that it’s also worth the risk to be played.

The board will be updated weekly and at the end of the season, there will be a clear picture of how our picks did.

Matches: 482
Won: 245
Hit Rate: 50.82% 

Stake: 4662
Returns: 5134.05

Profit: +472.05
ROI:  +10.12%

Long term bets: 

Overall (2016-20): +5094.24 units, ROI: +9.35

*Betting stats 2019-20

*Betting stats 2018-19

*Betting stats 2017-18

*Betting stats 2016-17 (March – June)

*Betting stats in World Cup 2019

*Betting stats in Eurobasket2017